The following
Risk Watch article which was published in Cyprus Financial Mirror, 20-26
April 2005 refers to the recent discovery
of £CY9.2m
(approx. £11mGBP) missing from the pension fund of the Electrical Authority
of Cyprus (EAC). Suphire, the pensions investment company appointed by EAC,
is under investigation for fraud and its owner was arrested. The background
to how Suphire came to be appointed and the level of checks, monitoring and
control applied by EAC are also under investigation by the Cyprus Securities
and Exchange Commission.
Suphire – failures of hindsight?
By Dr Alan Waring
So, there’s a black hole in the pension fund of EAC. Hang on a sec!
Have we not seen this movie before somewhere? Was it not Mirror Group Newspapers
quite a few years back? And then, did we not sit agog at other scandals such
as BICC, Poly Peck and Barings in the 1990s and more recently Enron, Tyco
and Parmalat? Forgive me, but I thought that we had all learned from these
so that they could not recur so easily in other organisations. Corporate
governance requirements and robust risk management systems were supposed
to stop the rot. Clearly not. My old mate Prof Brian Toft refers to such
cases as ‘disasters waiting to happen’ and ‘failures of
managerial hindsight’ whereby organisations fail to learn from their
own and others’ disasters and fail to reduce risks despite abundant
forewarning.
So, where has it all gone wrong? Until the formal
investigations are over, no one can say for sure about the Suphire case.
However, I would
hazard
a guess that failures in human resource (HR) risk management are
likely to
be heavily implicated. In 1995-6, Prof Ian Glendon and I investigated
how the thoughts, decisions, attitudes, behaviours, systems and
culture of
people within Barings brought about that organisation’s collapse.
The following is a heavily abridged summary of what we found and presented
at the Australia
and New Zealand Academy of Management Conference in 1997 and in Risk
Management Bulletin October 1998. A fuller account is given in chapter
11 of Managing
Risk (1998 Waring A E and Glendon A I available from Thomson, ISBN
1-86152-167-7).
Four sets of factors are prime sources of HR risks:
Unfavourable Contexts
Major change e.g. restructuring, rapid growth,
outsourcing, mergers & acquisitions.
Large financial responsibilities upon individuals.
Ambiguous corporate ethics (e.g. bucking the
system and senior staff awarding themselves ludicrously large bonuses
were tolerated in Barings).
Antagonistic power relations (Barings Singapore
typically ignored instructions from Barings
Brothers London and
their auditors).
All five unfavourable contexts were evident
in the Barings case. Individually, such contexts
might have
been survivable. In combination,
they proved
lethal.
Inadequate HR Management Systems
Selection and de-selection Nick Leeson who was at the centre of the Barings
collapse had no prior trading experience and was appointed without checks
which
would have
revealed his
lie regarding an outstanding judgement for a bad debt.
He
was entrusted with both back and front office management without
adequate checks
on his activities
or integrity.
Competencies and training There
was no real objective assessment of competencies or training needs, whether
on initial appointment or
for promotion.
It was ‘learn as you
go’. This led to severe shortages of qualified
back-office staff and, in turn, to an information gap
regarding what
Nick Leeson was
up to. Scepticism,
checking and investigation would have been second-nature
to qualified and experienced back-office staff.
Promotion and responsibility How did the unqualified and inexperienced Nick Leeson
manage to reach his senior position in such a short
time and hold
onto it?
It is apparent
that
his promotion was part of a general pattern which
included his superiors.
Supervision and authority The
Barings reporting structure was confused and fluid. Nick Leeson himself
stated in 1996: ‘…..my lines of communication with London were
so vague that nobody knew who I reported to…..[I was]….supposed
to report to four different people…..It was a bizarre structure and
one which allowed me to run my own show without anyone interfering’.
Rewards structure and policies The
scale of bonus-related greed among directors and senior employees at
Barings was so staggering
that
for 1994 bonuses
amounted to £84mGBP
which was more than the declared pre-tax
profits of £83mGBP
and 3-4 times the normal level for this kind of banking.
Performance management No reference to any commonly recognised form
of performance management system within
Barings has
been identifiable.
Inadequate Primary Task (Sub) Systems
Multiple key functions in front office
(e.g. investments, sales) and back
office (e.g.
accounts) controlled
by one person.
The standard anti-fraud practice
of separating front and back-office
functions
was absent
at Barings Securities
Singapore. Leeson,
by virtue of his commanding
position over both functions, was
thus able to inflate apparent trading
fees
and hid
the fiction
in a spurious
88888 ‘error account’.
Human Failings
Human error
A high level of errors was normal
in the daily records and accounts
at Barings
Singapore.
Trading errors
were commonly
covered by
creating fictitious deals
and recording them in error
accounts. This was how Leeson got started
on his infamous
88888
error account.
Indecision
Independent auditors from SIMEX
and Coopers & Lybrand reported in January
1995 that all was not well yet Barings senior managers responsible for Singapore
failed to act. ‘Command and control’ decisiveness
in the light of changing
situations and new information
is a vital
attribute
for senior
managers.
Stress reactions
It is clear that in the final
months and weeks before
the Barings collapse
Leeson
was under
such stress
that his
lifestyle and
behaviour degenerated
rapidly with binge drinking
and other symptomatic behaviour,
all of which
should have been
spotted by his superiors
and investigated. He
described
his position as feeling
like a drowning insect stuck in
resin,
clawing hopelessly
to pull
himself out.
Deviant behaviour e.g.
fraud, theft
Leeson became synonymous
with the term ‘rogue trader’. Spotting ‘rogues’ is
in fact quite difficult as many of the supposed characteristics of rogues
are shared by others who are decent, competent and law-abiding. The term ‘rogue’ also
suggests that only individuals
are at fault whereas, as
in Barings, the lack of
robust risk management
systems is clearly
a fundamental
cause.